Some time ago there was a blog post about someone analysing what tags SO users answered on and coming up with the five most and least likely tags that this user would answer on in the future. The post included a link (template) where you could view the results for at least yourself, possibly for any user.

For the fun of it, I would like to keep tabs on that prediction as I am moving into other fields of software development. For the life of me I can't remember the link for my own prediction page and two hours worth of googling has not yet led me back to that original blog post.

Could someone please help me and provide the link to that blog post and/or the appropriate URL for my own prediction page?

up vote 31 down vote accepted

That would be https://stackoverflow.com/users/tag-future/current. (Yes, that URL takes you to your own report, and anyone else's to theirs.)

I know Kevin Montrose wrote about this, not sure if anyone else worked on it and if so, anyone else wrote about it. Kevin's post can be found here.

Note that it's still experimental for now. I for one could definitely see room for improvement: while is indeed one of my top tags, I've been extremely inactive there in the past couple of years. I haven't even answered a single question this year, and I disagree with the tool saying I'm more likely to answer questions with that tag, mainly because I haven't worked with PHP in so long and got bored with the tag.

  • 6
    Why didn't I know about this :-o. This is nice :) – Felix Aug 23 '13 at 20:03
  • Kevin does address this specifically in his blog post: "Surprisingly, despite the seemingly breakneck speed of change in software, looking at recent history when calculating the site average is a much worse predictor than considering all-time. Likewise when looking at user history, even for very highly active users, recent activity is a worse predictor than all time." You might just be the weirdo here. :-) – Cody Gray Aug 24 '13 at 6:26
  • @Cody Gray: Sheesh. – BoltClock's a Unicorn Aug 24 '13 at 6:27
  • That tag future report is awesome though. Somehow I missed the link when I first read the blog post. It is almost creepy how accurate it is for me. The preferred tags are exactly the ones I would choose for myself. – Cody Gray Aug 24 '13 at 6:29
  • Would you say that this is more accurate? The tags listed for you are css, css-selectors, html. – David Chen Aug 24 '13 at 6:47
  • @Dave Chen: Not sure, given that it's simply tags where I've earned the most upvotes in a certain period of time. That said I have more answers in those three tags than [php], and so I'm more likely to collect upvotes/earn rep in those tags. – BoltClock's a Unicorn Aug 24 '13 at 6:53
  • Is still Kevin Montrose working on it? – llrs Jun 17 '14 at 11:42
  • @Llopis: Why are you asking me? I'm not him. – BoltClock's a Unicorn Jun 17 '14 at 11:42
  • I can't ask him directly and I wanted to call more attention to this topic. Note that I didn't tag you in my comment but as you mention him in your post it made sense to post this here instead of under the question. – llrs Jun 17 '14 at 11:45
  • @Llopis: Yeah but the only person who's going to get notified of this is me, not him. – BoltClock's a Unicorn Jun 17 '14 at 11:46

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