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Now that our Jon Skeet contest is over. I'd like to try our hand again but this time with Marc Gravell. When do you think he'll surpass the 100,000 mark?

Current Score http://www.grumpydev.com/imageFlair/imageFlair.php?userid=23354

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    To confirm, the final date was the 19th.
    – Marc Gravell
    Dec 19, 2009 at 21:27
  • big congrats to you Marc
    – Nathan Koop
    Dec 20, 2009 at 19:19

7 Answers 7

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December 19, 2009

I know... I'm a big cheater :p

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    pah! Just for that I'm tempted to suspend my own account, so I don't gain any rep tomorrow!
    – Marc Gravell
    Dec 18, 2009 at 20:44
  • We double-dog-dare you.
    – Even Mien
    Dec 18, 2009 at 20:48
  • congrats to Even Mien for answering correctly... even if he answered it the day the Marc crossed the finish line.
    – Nathan Koop
    Dec 20, 2009 at 19:19
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Well, I'm ~81k now, after roughly a year (less a few days) - so add ~3 months. I'll say Dec 15th.

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    Wow. It's mildly humiliating to those of us that have been around since beta that neither you nor Jon are Yearlings yet. I doff my top hat to both of you.
    – Bill the Lizard
    Sep 25, 2009 at 19:09
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    I call shenanigans! Can't bet on yourself.
    – devinb
    Sep 25, 2009 at 19:38
  • I can too ;-p Plus: if I get there too early I can always suspend myself so I don't go over-rep ahead of time. I'm not sure that I will though...
    – Marc Gravell
    Sep 25, 2009 at 22:32
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    @Bill the Lizard: Are you saying that Jon Skeet joined after me?
    – Ikke
    Sep 25, 2009 at 22:55
  • @Ikke: Jon joined SO four days after you (he gets his Yearling badge tomorrow). Don't feel bad, though. I had a forty-day head start on Jon, and he passed me like I was standing still.
    – Bill the Lizard
    Sep 26, 2009 at 1:05
  • Right now, looks like it'll be Dec 19th.
    – Nathan Koop
    Dec 16, 2009 at 20:50
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    Well, 4 days in a 3 month guess isn't too terrible...
    – Marc Gravell
    Dec 18, 2009 at 13:41
  • I was just going to add "good guess", but you beat me to it ;)
    – ChrisF Mod
    Dec 18, 2009 at 22:58
  • @Marc: Are you this good at estimating when you'll finish a project? ;-)
    – Kredns
    Apr 27, 2010 at 4:27
  • @Dexter - I'll let you know when one is "finished". 11 years into pro development, and the only way I've found to fully "finish" a project is to change jobs.
    – Marc Gravell
    Jun 20, 2010 at 20:27
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In six to eight weeks

Or, as a real entry into the contest, Dec 23.

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  • you forgot the "to eight" part...
    – tvanfosson
    Sep 25, 2009 at 18:00
  • Hmmm... ~445/day - sounds like a lot of fun ;-p
    – Marc Gravell
    Sep 25, 2009 at 18:04
  • @tvanfosson: touche
    – squillman
    Sep 25, 2009 at 18:04
  • @Marc: c'mon, man of yer caliber? :)
    – squillman
    Sep 25, 2009 at 18:05
  • @Squillman, you could still get it right if you furiously downvote Mark for the next couple of days ;-)
    – Nathan Koop
    Dec 18, 2009 at 20:42
  • Hey! Play fair! Where's that "delete user" button...
    – Marc Gravell
    Dec 18, 2009 at 20:45
  • Haha, let's see. 30 votes at 2/vote x 5 days = 300 points, if I do it spaced out enough to trick the auto rep fixer. Hmmm. Nah :)
    – squillman
    Dec 18, 2009 at 21:23
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My guess is Dec 12th, 2009

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The progression of his reputation is exponential, so I'll guess earlier. I'll say November 2nd.

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  • I don't see any evidence for that... slightly sub-linear at the moment, if anything.
    – Marc Gravell
    Sep 28, 2009 at 5:10
  • Perhaps it is because of the reputation cap.
    – Jader Dias
    Sep 28, 2009 at 13:45
  • Is there a consolation prize for the first loser?
    – Ether
    Nov 18, 2009 at 0:15
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November 29, 2009

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December 5th, 2pm UTC.

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    You could be a bit more specific perhaps?
    – Marc Gravell
    Sep 28, 2009 at 5:15
  • Looks like I missed it by a hair. Currently he's at 96,785...
    – Ether
    Dec 5, 2009 at 2:18

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